Formal outputs
Reports
Formal research outputs — paper-style PDFs, presentation slides, and backtest reports. Code is kept private for now and may be shared on request.
Donchian Breakout on SPX 0DTE — Negative-Result Paper
Regime-Concentrated Edge & the Cost of In-Sample Selection
Fractal Breakout Propagation — Analysis Reports
Macro Recession-Risk Overlay for the S&P 500
Cross-Asset Performance — A Descriptive Comparison
How Deep, How Long, and Why — S&P 500 Drawdowns & Recoveries
Income-Scaled Monthly Investing — A Historical Counterfactual
Magnificent 7 Earnings Review — Q2 2026
The AI Industry — Value Chain, Key Players & Outlook
A Priced-In Hike — The Fed's September 2026 Increase and the Treasury Curve
The Anchor Slips — The BOJ's September 2026 Hike and Global Capital Flows
More reports will be added as drafts are reviewed and sanitized for publication.